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8Vote!

Dow Jones Economic Sentiment Indicator Rebounds to Highest Level Since August 2008

NEW YORK, November 2, 2009 – The Dow Jones Economic Sentiment Indicator (ESI) rose to 36.9 in October, up from 34.1 in September as a result of positive media coverage of ongoing stock market gains and news that the gross domestic product rose at an annual rate of 3.5 percent in the third quarter (see chart). The gain in the ESI runs counter to unexpectedly large drops in two leading consumer-based...

5Vote!

Is the Drought in Higher Interest Rates Ending?

Wade Slome submits: The drought in higher interest rates may be nearing an end? Ever since the global financial crisis accelerated into full force in the fall of 2008, there were a constant flow of coordinated interest rate cuts triggered around the world with the aim of stimulating global GDP (Gross Domestic Product) and improving credit flow through the clogged financial pipes. Central banks across...

4Vote!

Goldman, Merrill, Morgan Stanley cut GDP forecasts

SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) -- Bank economists trimmed their outlooks for third-quarter economic growth on Wednesday after the Commerce Department said orders for U.S.-made durable goods rose as expected in September, but core shipments fell 0.2% from August. Shipments data excluding defense and aircraft bookings is used to model gross domestic product. Goldman Sachs economists cut their forecast...

4Vote!

What is China's Exit Strategy?

China Worries Prompt Asian Stock Sell Off GOOD MORNING. Stocks in Asia closed lower today; U.S. futures are pointing to a weak open. Talk about a global growth engine. China has been critical to pulling the world out of recession, and Beijing reported today that economic growth has accelerated (once again). Gross domestic product grew 8.9% in the third quarter, the fastest pace in a year. That was...

5Vote!

Latin American Leasing Industry Growing Despite Global Economy

FORT LAUDERDALE, Fla., Oct. 2 /PRNewswire/ -- The Alta Group's fifth annual report on equipment leasing in Latin America, The Alta Group LAR 100 for 2008, shows the region's leasing industry is expanding four times higher than its Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate. Alta estimates that the industry in 2008, valued at US$ 71 billion in leased portfolios, grew 15.8% in US dollars and 16.7% in real...

5Vote!

The Death of U.S. Consumers: Not Yet, But Soon

Michael Panzner submits: It's that time again -- the day of the month when I put together a Market Observation column for my good friends at Financial Sense . Below is a snippet from Thursday's commentary, entitled "Interesting Divergences": Many people have been talking about the death of the U.S. consumer. But if you look at personal consumption expenditures (better-than-expected data...

5Vote!

1.9 Million New Jobs Could Be Created by Climate & Energy Bill Before the Senate

BERKELEY, Calif., Sept. 29 /PRNewswire/ -- A new analysis by economists at University of California, Berkeley finds that the pollution reduction and energy efficiency measures contained in the American Clean Energy and Security Act (ACES) - already passed by the U.S. House of Representatives -- could create between 918,000 and 1.9 million new jobs, increase annual household income by $487-1,175 per...

5Vote!

Trading Week Outlook: September 27 - October 2, 2009

All Things Forex submits: The busy week ahead will be filled with a number of market-moving economic releases, but without a doubt, the U.S. Non-farm Payrolls and Employment Situation report, along with the U.S. Gross Domestic Product, will steal the spotlight. In preparation for the new trading week, here is a quick look at the most important economic events that every currency trader should pay...

4Vote!

Barclays moves up Fed, ECB rate-hike forecasts

LONDON (MarketWatch) -- Economists at Barclays Capital on Friday upwardly revised their U.S. gross domestic product forecast and said they now expect the Federal Reserve to deliver its first rate hike in September 2010. Barclays had previously expected the Fed to remain on hold through the end of next year. They expect GDP to grow at a 5% rate in the first quarter "before settling in to a more...

4Vote!

Corrections: U.S. current-account gap narrows

A MarketWatch report on the United States balance-of-payments deficit cited an incorrect historical comparison. The deficit as a percentage of gross domestic product narrowed to 2.8% in the second quarter.

4Vote!

Dollar stays down after inflation report

NEW YORK (MarketWatch) -- The dollar remained lower Wednesday after the U.S. government's consumer price index rose 0.4%, a little more than economists expected. The dollar index , a measure of the greenback against a trade-weighted basket of major currencies, fell to a fresh one-year low of 76.187 in overseas trade. It traded at 76.452 in recent action. Excluding food and energy, CPI rose 0.1%. Separately,...

5Vote!

Positive Data Lifts Australian Dollar, Forces Yen Down

The recent release of Gross Domestic Product data from Australia indicated that the country’s economic growth was better and faster at .6% than had been originally expected for the second quarter of 2009, helping to prop up the Australian Dollar versus the Japanese Yen which was forced to retreat from a 6-week high versus the AUD. As reported at 3:24 p.m. (JST) in Tokyo, the Australian Dollar...

4Vote!

Australian GDP rises 0.6%; 0.2% expected

TOKYO (MarketWatch) -- Australia's gross domestic product grew a seasonally adjusted 0.6% in the April-June quarter from the previous quarter, the Australian Bureau of Statistics said Wednesday, beating economists' consensus expectation of a 0.2% rise. The bureau left first-quarter GDP unrevised, at 0.4% on-quarter growth. The main positive contributors to expenditures were new machinery and equipment,...

7Vote!

Hoover's Pro-Labor Policy Caused Great Depression

UCLA -- Pro-labor policies pushed by President Herbert Hoover after the stock market crash of 1929 accounted for close to two-thirds of the drop in the nation's gross domestic product over the two years that followed, causing what might otherwise have been a bad recession to slip into the Great Depression, a UCLA economist concludes in a new study . "These findings suggest that the recession was...

5Vote!

A Historical Perspective on U.S. Debt Growth

David Hunkar submits: The White House recently projected that the sharply rising U.S. government deficit could reach $9.05 Trillion over the next decade. In February, after Mr.Obama became President, the projection was around $7 Trillion. Mr. Obama inherited a gaping budget deficit from the previous Bush administration due to tax cuts. “ Still, the deficit, stemming mostly from aid to the financial...