10Vote!
The Corner (Free subscription) | 11/05/2009
Toby Harnden writes : Sarah Palin roared and had a considerable impact in New York’s 23rd District, which the Democrat narrowly won. Trouble is for her that the result showed the limits of her appeal. There was no exit polling and so there is much supposition but it seems that her intervention energised conservatives but alienated centrists. Perhaps the national Republican who came out best was...
5Vote!
Third Base Politics (Free subscription) | 10/29/2009
If you read political blogs, you know Daily Kos is the most influential liberal blog in the nation. And if you follow Ohio politics, this article couldn't help but capture your attention: Some of my favorite nuggets: [S]outheast Ohio shows as Kasich's third stongest region at 54-43 for Kasich. The southeast is Strickland's home base. It's where he grew up and held a congressional seat for eons. It's...
10Vote!
Political Ticker (Free subscription) | 10/15/2009
Rob Portman is the Republican frontrunner in the Ohio Senate race. (CNN) – Republican Rob Portman, the former congressman and George W. Bush cabinet official now running for Senate in Ohio, finished the latest fundraising period with a big cash advantage over the frontrunner for the Democratic nomination, Lt. Gov. Lee Fisher. Portman raised $1.3 million in [...]
7Vote!
Red State (Free subscription) | 10/14/2009
I have long argued that conservatives need to be strategic in their thinking when it comes to elections. While I will fully admit that balancing “the most electable” with “the most conservative” is rarely easy it is still a critical decision to make. “Throw all the bums out” is not a wise strategy for regaining the majority or implementing conservative policy. This...
5Vote!
Third Base Politics (Free subscription) | 10/13/2009
Roll Call is out today with an intriguing article highlighting how Ohio GOP standard bearers John Kasich and Rob Portman will assist in close congressional races in 2012. Public polling shows Portman trailing both of his potential Democratic opponents, Lt. Gov. Lee Fisher and Secretary of State Jennifer Brunner, although more than a quarter of voters are undecided in the recent Quinnipiac University...
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Jumping in Pools (Free subscription) | 10/09/2009
When focus started to shift towards the 2010 elections in the United States Senate, the picture appeared bleak for the Republican party, as Ohio, Missouri, New Hampshire, Kentucky, and even Florida all had Republicans retiring from office, and the party was only able to claim two of those states during the 2008 Presidential election. It appeared a third straight debacle was possible for the Republican...
10Vote!
fivethirtyeight (Free subscription) | 10/01/2009
Well, there are all of about five hours left in September, and I haven't gotten the monthly Senate rankings out to you. What follows is an abbreviated version; it's been a relatively dull month, besides, for movement in most of these Senate races. We'll be back with a more full-fledged update in October. Races are ranked in order of their likelihood of changing parties (by November 2010, accounting...
10Vote!
Daily Kos (Free subscription) | 09/29/2009
Another Monday in campaign land, with a small handful of new polls over the weekend, as well as some very intriguing news out of the forthcoming special election in upstate New York is which it is now conceivable that the Democrats could pad their House majority. AZ-Gov: Rasmussen Confirms Democratic Lead Over GOP Incumbent Rasmussen polls the Grand Canyon State, and confirms last week's finding by...
11Vote!
Daily Kos (Free subscription) | 09/26/2009
A short edition of the Wrap for a Friday, as we head into what promises (at least here in SoCal) to be a hot summer-esque weekend: CA-Sen: Rasmussen Polls Golden State, Finds Boxer (More or Less) Golden Rasmussen, on what appears to be a tour of the 2010 Senate races, makes their way to California, and finds Barbara Boxer under 50%, but with solid leads over both GOP challengers . Interestingly, they...
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Swing State Project (Free subscription) | 09/24/2009
? AZ-Sen (pdf): John McCain is probably safe for re-election in 2010. PPP released the second half of their Arizona sample, and find McCain beating two strong opponents who seem to have no intention of running anyway: Sec. of Homeland Security and ex-Gov. Janet Napolitano (53-40) and Rep. Gabrielle Giffords (57-30). He also leads Tucson city councilor Rodney Glassman, who is at least a rumored candidate,...
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5Vote!
2008 Democratic Convention Watch (Free subscription) | 09/18/2009
In addition to Chris Dodd's better poll numbers , there was other good and not-so-good poll numbers, some surprising, in the last two days: Excellent and surprising news in Virginia, where Creigh Deeds has closed to 2 points : Bob McDonnell (R) 48%, Deeds (D) 46. However another poll sponsored by a biased web site gives McDonnell a 50-43 lead. More good news in Ohio 's Senate race, one state where...
11Vote!
Daily Kos (Free subscription) | 09/17/2009
There is quite the plethora of campaign news on this Wednesday evening. Some of them have already been hashed out on the ole FP, but there were plenty of tasty leftovers for the Wrap-Up... OH-Sen: Democrats In Solid Position for Senate Pick-Up, According to Q A day after the good folks at Quinnipiac showed Ted Strickland stretching out to a ten-point lead in the Ohio Governor's race, we get new numbers...
3Vote!
MyDD (Free subscription) | 09/16/2009
If the Republicans are poised for major gains in 2010, shouldn't one of their top Senate recruits in the country be leading, or at least tied, rather than trailing badly in an open seat race they're defending ? Quinnipiac survey of 1,074 Ohio voters, September 10-13, margin of error +/- 3.0% Democrat Lee Fisher 42, Republican Rob Portman 31 Democrat Jennifer Brunner 39, Republican Rob Portman 34 Rob...
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Real Clear Politics (Free subscription) | 09/16/2009
In the latest Quinnipiac survey in the Ohio Senate race, both Democratic candidates lead likely GOP nominee Rob Portman in hypothetical general election matchups. Lt. Gov. Lee Fisher and Sec. of State Jennifer Brunner both also lead Cleveland area car dealer Tom Ganley. For the Democratic primary, 55% remain undecided as Fisher leads Brunner 26%-17% -- [...]