Patterico's Pontifications (Free subscription) | 11/20/2009
[Posted by Karl] If the polls were a record, they would sound like the beginning of Pink Floyd’s “Time.” Public Policy Polling (PPP) — a Democratic firm — has a raft of numbers, almost none comforting to Democrats. Following up on the troubles of Rep. Vic Snyder in Arkansas’ 2nd Congressional District — where Barack Obama had his [...]
Marc Ambinder (Free subscription) | 11/20/2009
The 2010 midterms are just around the corner (sort of). Here's what's happening: Rudy Giuliani will run for Senate, according to the New York Daily News; Marco Rubio has pulled to within 10 percentage points of Gov. Charlie Crist (R) in Florida's Senate race, Daily Kos/Research 2000 reports ; Doug Hoffman is accusing ACORN and labor unions of tampering with the NY-23 election that saw him lose to Democrat...
Political Ticker (Free subscription) | 11/19/2009
(CNN) – House Republicans are criticizing three Democrats for voting in favor of their party's health care reform bill in a new weeklong TV ad buy. The 30-second spots (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8msVvi3S2Ek) are airing on cable television and target Reps. Vic Snyder of Arkansas, Earl Pomeroy of North Dakota and John Spratt of South Carolina. Ken Spain, communications director [...]
The Hotline on Call (Free subscription) | 11/19/2009
UPDATED 9:45 A.M. The NRCC will launch a tiny round of new television ads against three Dems this week in an early indication of the argument the GOP will make while criticizing the health care bill. The ads, targeting Reps. Earl Pomeroy (D-ND), Vic Snyder (D-AR) and John Spratt (D-SC), will cite another Dem -- conservative Rep. Dan Boren (D-OK) -- who opposed the health care bill. "The worst...
Marc Ambinder (Free subscription) | 11/19/2009
TV ads are up and running--in a big way--in the districts of moderate House members, as interest groups either thank them for their votes on the House health care bill or attack them for voting the "wrong" way. At least 17 House members will have ads running in their districts next week, as a couple new campaigns are getting underway. Here's what those members--most of whom are considered...
First Read (Free subscription) | 11/18/2009
The liberal group Americans United for Change says it’s announcing the first wave of a multi-million-dollar ad campaign to back up the 13 House Democrats (and one Republican) who voted for the health-care bill and who have been the target of the GOP-leaning Chamber of Commerce and the 60 Plus Association. Those 13 House members: Baron Hill (IN), Brad Ellsworth (IN), Joe Donnelly (IN), Chris...
Patterico's Pontifications (Free subscription) | 11/17/2009
[Posted by Karl] Rep. Vic Snyder (D) has had it pretty easy in Arkansas’ 2nd Congressional District since his election in 1996. In this century, he has generally won re-election by roughly 15% margins. He ran unopposed in 2008. The Cook Political Report has considered it a “Tier 2″ district leaning Democratic. According to Public Policy Polling [...]
Swing State Project (Free subscription) | 11/17/2009
? AR-Sen : PPP's Tom Jensen has some interesting crosstabs from their AR-02 poll, which shed some light on Blanche Lincoln's unique set of problems. Lincoln generates only lukewarm enthusiasm from her base: Barack Obama gets a 78% approval among Dems in the district, Rep. Vic Snyder is at 75%, and Mark Pryor is at 61%, but Lincoln is at only 43%, with 30% of Dems thinking she's too conservative (although...
HolyCoast.com (Free subscription) | 11/17/2009
To the Republicans. So says Michael Barone , who knows more about the American electorate than anybody: Sometimes a poll result slaps you in the face. That was the case for me when I saw Public Policy Polling’s results in the 2nd congressional district of Arkansas. PPP has the incumbent, Democrat Vic Snyder, leading three unknown Republicans (two-thirds to three-quarters of respondents could...
Dad29 (Free subscription) | 11/17/2009
Barone--a very astute observer : Sometimes a poll result slaps you in the face. That was the case for me when I saw Public Policy Polling’s results in the 2nd congressional district of Arkansas. PPP has the incumbent, Democrat Vic Snyder, leading three unknown Republicans (two-thirds to three-quarters of respondents could not describe their feelings toward them) by margins of 44%-43%, 44%-42%...
Patriot Room (Free subscription) | 11/17/2009
Trouble: "Democrat Vic Snyder is leading three unknown Republicans by margins of 44%-43%, 44%-42% and 45%-42%. No, it doesn’t matter which Republican got the best score. The news here is that a seven-term Democratic incumbent, an intelligent man (he has earned an M.D.) with no disqualifying personal characteristics or accusations of scandal (so far as I know) is running significantly below...
Real Clear Politics (Free subscription) | 11/16/2009
Public Policy Polling (D) surveyed voters in Arkansas' Second Congressional District, carried narrowly by Pres. Bush in 2000 and 2004 but that went for Sen. John McCain by a 10-point margin in 2008. Rep. Vic Snyder (D), who recently voted for the health care reform bill in the House, could face a tough race [...]
Red State (Free subscription) | 11/13/2009
Looking at the Cook Political Report’s latest competitive race chart is in itself informative - the short version is that of the top 108 competitive races, the following ratios apply: Dem GOP Likely D 45 0 Leans D 23 1 Toss-up D 12 0 Toss-up R 0 3 Leans R 1 8 Likely R 0 15 Total 81 27 …but there’s some interesting things that can be seen with a little sorting. Below is a chart of...
Capitol Briefing (Free subscription) | 11/11/2009
By Ben Pershing A conservative seniors' group is launching a seven-figure ad campaign against House Democrats who voted for the party's health-care reform bill Saturday, accusing them of cutting Medicare and saddling future generations with hefty deficits. The 60 Plus Association -- an advocacy group that calls itself the "conservative alternative" to AARP -- plans to spend $1.5 million on...
Daily Kos (Free subscription) | 11/09/2009
While many Democrats in red districts voted against the House healthcare bill, quite a few representatives who hold tough seats did the courageous thing and voted "aye." These are the members of Congress who sit in Republican-leaning districts but still did the right thing : District Representative PVI ND-AL Pomeroy, Earl R+10 WV-01 Mollohan, Alan R+9 AR-01 Berry, Marion R+8 IN-08 Ellsworth,...
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