First Read (Free subscription) | 11/19/2009
COLORADO : "The Republican race to challenge Rep. Betsy Markey (D) is getting crowded ." Markey knocked off a three-term Republican incumbent for Colorado's 4th Congressional seat last year, and, as of Tuesday night, faces a third Republican challenger: Dean Madere, "a Louisiana native who works for a heating and air conditioning company and says he's "average" but "frustrated"...
Democrashield.com (Free subscription) | 11/17/2009
That’s what we’re learning from Delaware’s 2010 GOP Senate candidate, Mike Castle: This is one of the more surprising polls I’ve seen recently: Delaware Attorney General Beau Biden, son of the vice president, is leading Rep. Mike Castle (R-Del.) in a hypothetical 2010 U.S. Senate matchup. The Susquehanna Polling & Research survey has Biden [...]
Marc Ambinder (Free subscription) | 11/17/2009
The 2010 midterms are just around the corner (sort of). Here's what's happening: Vice President Joe Biden is hitting the trail for vulnerable Democratic Reps. Harry Mitchell (AV), Ann Kirkpatrick (AZ), and Dina Titus (NV); New York Gov. David Paterson (D) trails Attorney General Andrew Cuomo by 59 points in his reelection race, according to Siena; there's some doubt that Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison...
Daily Kos (Free subscription) | 11/17/2009
A surprising amount of new polling data as we kick off the new week. Contrary to the past two weeks, some of it is actually good news for Democrats, although there are a couple of brutal polls in there as well for the Blue team. DE-Sen: First Poll of Cycle Gives Biden Lead over Castle The pending "Clash of the Titans" in Delaware between longtime Republican Congressman Mike Castle and state...
S E N A T U S (Free subscription) | 11/17/2009
A new Susquehanna (R) “poll of the Delaware Senate race gives Democratic state Attorney General Beau Biden, a son of Vice President Joe Biden, a five-point lead over long-time GOP Congressman Mike Castle in the 2010 race for Joe Biden’s former Senate seat,” Talking Points Memo reports. The numbers: Beau 45%, Castle 40%, with a [...]
Swing State Project (Free subscription) | 11/16/2009
Susquehanna Polling and Research (R) (11/10-15, registered voters, 4/27-30 in parentheses): Beau Biden (D) : 45 (34) Mike Castle (R) : 40 (55) Undecided : 8 (8) (MoE: ?3.4%) Mike Castle may be rasping to himself, Lloyd Bridges-style, "Looks like I picked the wrong week to run for Senate." And Beau Biden, who's been strangely coy about whether or not to run for Senate since his return from...
Media Matters for America (Free subscription) | 11/16/2009
Last week, The Hill ran an article claiming "The healthcare battle appears to be helping Republicans running for the Senate," based on "the first major Senate polls since the House passed its healthcare bill on Saturday." But the polls -- one in Ohio and one in Connecticut -- were largely conducted before the vote had even occurred , and none of the candidates polled actually voted...
odd time signatures (Free subscription) | 11/16/2009
Some Democrats are already wringing their hands over the 2010 races. If they’re smart, they’ll have a look at what’s happening in Delaware and take heed: Beau Biden jumped 21 points in the polls to overtake incumbent GOP Representative Mike Castle after Castle voted against the House health care reform bill and for the Stupak [...]
Political Wire (Free subscription) | 11/16/2009
A new Susquehanna Polling & Research poll in Delaware finds Attorney General Beau Biden (D) leading Rep. Mike Castle (R) by five points, 45% to 40%. In April, Castle led by 21 points. According to the pollster, the shift "may be a result of negative publicity [Castle] received in the state after casting a 'no' vote for President Obama's health care reform bill in the U.S. Congress."
Below The Beltway (Free subscription) | 11/13/2009
Don Surber tallies the polls: Connecticut, Quinnipiac: Republican Rob Simmons 49, Democratic Sen. Christopher Dodd 38. Delaware, Daily Kos: Republican Congressman Mike Castle 46, Democrat Beau Biden 45. Illinois, Public Policy Poling: Republican Mark Kirk 53, Democratic Sen. Roland Burris 19. This is the latest poll and it is 7 months old. Missouri, Rasmussen: Republican Roy Blunt 46, Democrat [...]...
Don Surber (Free subscription) | 11/13/2009
Republicans have to take gain 11 seats in the Senate to regain control of that body. I think a gain of that size last occurred in 1958. So how is it going? Connecticut, Quinnipiac: Republican Rob Simmons 49, Democratic Sen. Christopher Dodd 38. Delaware, Daily Kos: Republican Congressman Mike Castle 46, Democrat Beau Biden 45. Illinois, Public Policy Poling: [...]
Red State (Free subscription) | 11/11/2009
Or simply… thoughtful ? [Former President Bill] Clinton delivered the keynote address at the party’s Jefferson Jackson Dinner, the kickoff to the 2010 campaign in Delaware — a foray many Democrats hope will again feature “Biden for Senate” buttons. But there was no word from Attorney General Biden on Tuesday night about whether he will run for the U.S. Senate seat once...
Patriot Room (Free subscription) | 11/09/2009
NPR is wringing its hands . . . with good reason. Let's look at their list of Senate races and see how much good news is there for the Dems. Democratic leader Harry Reid is woefully unpopular in Nevada. Six Republicans are competing for the chance to topple him the way GOP Sen. John Thune of South Dakota did to then-Democratic leader Tom Daschle in 2004. RCP has both Republicans Lowden and Tarkanian...
fivethirtyeight (Free subscription) | 10/31/2009
The pace of Senate polling has slackened this month as pollsters have turned their attention to next Tuesday's elections as well as the continuing fight over health care. My attention, likewise, has been concentrated on those other areas. But for the sake of continuity, a very brief Senate rankings update is in order as the clock ticks down on October. I am changing the status of only three races;...
The Liberal Doomsayer (Free subscription) | 10/24/2009
As reported in last Sunday's Philadelphia Inquirer, here is how Philadelphia-area members of Congress were recorded on major roll-call votes last week (and I also posted here ). I only have a comment on one item this week, by the way, and more or less an observation on another. House Homeland Security budget . Voting 307-114, the House approved the conference report on a $44.1 billion Department of...
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