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I think this column by Lydia Saad, Gallup Poll Senior Editor, gets at an important point, but it may be obscured by the length of the piece. The launching point for her thoughts is a Charlie Cook column that suggests that this election is All About Obama. Cook presents compelling evidence that the ultimate results in November will depend on whether voters are comfortable going with Obama. Their
Republicans no longer have a realistic chance of holding their own in this year's Senate contests. by Charlie Cook The National Journal One of the less pleasant aspects of writing a political column when one party is having a particularly grim year is that the story gets so repetitive. Some years, the Democrats are in the political toilet. This year, the Republicans are in that unenviable position....
After a series of ratings changes by the Cook Political Report , Charlie Cook says Republicans no longer have a realistic chance of holding their own in this year's Senate contests. Cook recently made the following updates to Senate races: New Mexico is now rated Lean Democrat from Toss Up. North Carolina has been changed to Lean Republican from Likely Republican. Oregon is now rated a Toss Up from...
In his latest National Journal column, Charlie Cook breaks down the Senate contests and notes that the situation for the GOP looks bleak. "In the presidential race, ... McCain is behind but still very competitive. For the GOP, that is the bright spot on the horizon. In the House and Senate contests, the debate is about how many seats the Republicans will lose; they no longer have a realistic chance...
By Stuart Rothenberg As almost everyone knows, Charlie Cook is a longtime friend and the publisher of the highly regarded Cook Political Report. I think it’s fair to say that I pay close attention to Charlie’s House and Senate ratings and he does the same with mine. This column was prompted by a short piece in the Washington Post about recent ratings changes by Charlie’s newsletter, but my comments...
Every election in November will be important . [T]he political handicapper Charlie Cook envisions Democratic gains of up to 20 House seats and 7 Senate seats, close to the 60-vote threshold in the Senate needed to break filibusters by the minority. Frankly, it doesn't matter which presidential candidate has the best plan for health care or social security reform. Sausage gets made in the legislature....
Charlie Cook weighs in, and he’s not impressed. Now hold on…out of 100, he’d disregard between 90 to 95 of them? Listen, I get why he thinks that these state polls aren’t as accurate, but to dismiss polling institutions like SurveyUSA, Quinnipiac and Public Policy Polling as crappy local polling companies just trying to get some attention, [...]
Charlie Cook : "It is entirely plausible that McCain will attract as many votes as President Bush did in 2004, given that Republicans often vote out of habit or a feeling of civic duty. But there is a very good chance that Obama will receive a record number of votes, far exceeding what John Kerry got in 2004. And pollsters might not be able to detect a turnout surge in advance."
Charlie Cook says Baby Boomers may decide the next presidential election -- a generation that came of political age during the "disappointing" Carter term and "popular" Reagan years. "It is often said that Reagan drew a whole generation into the Republican Party. And some observers wonder whether George W. Bush may have driven another generation away. If this is true, Barack Obama, meet Ronald Reagan,...
On Congressional Races—Charlie Cook reclassified several races when Obama took the nomination: Changes made about a week ago. Shays and Kirk are the obvious ones where Obama pulls out voters in their district and they are likely to get knocked off. CA-04 OPEN (Doolittle) Solid Republican to Likely Republican CO-04 Marilyn Musgrave Lean Republican to Toss [...]
This is big news: America’s top political prognosticator, Charlie Cook, just changed his rating on NY-29, along with nine other Republican held seats. CA-04 - OPEN (Doolittle)- Solid Republican to Likely Republican CO-04 - Marilyn Musgrave - Lean Republican to Toss Up CT-04 - Chris Shays - Lean Republican to Toss Up IL-10 - Mark Kirk - Lean Republican [...]
Despite many erroneous rumors, and incorrect news articles yesterday, Hillary did not concede last night: Charlie Cook puts the demands that Hillary withdraw from the campaign in perspective: Those pleas were wrong and unfair. When was the last time a presidential candidate who was still consistently winning primaries and getting healthy numbers of votes asked to step aside, particularly with more...
The political strategist notes that after tonight's primaries Hillary Clinton and the former president "should begin thinking about their future and standing in the party...Will they be seen as party unifiers and team players, or party wreckers and sore losers?"...
"At the outset of this election cycle, most political analysts did not anticipate a second consecutive big win in November for congressional Democrats for a number of reasons," Charlie Cook explains. However, after losing three special House elections this year and with President Bush's popularity dragging the party down, it's clear that Republicans "might get walloped again in November. The indications...
Today DLA Piper is hosting a 2008 election analysis event featuring Charlie Cook of the Cook Political Report. As part of the show, the firm's unveiling the results of an economic and legislative survey it conducted of its corporate clients....
