Charlie Rose with Charlie Cook, Hay Carney, Peter Beinart, Ron Brownstein & Katty Kay (July 27, 2004)
Third Base Politics (Free subscription) | 10 hours ago
This week, renowned political analyst Stuart Rothenberg revealed his "Dangerous Dozen" House seats for 2010 . Of the 12 seats rated most vulnerable, two are in Ohio - the 1st and 15th. Ohio’s 1st: Rep. Steve Driehaus (D) knocked off then-Rep. Steve Chabot (R) last year, and now Chabot is trying to return the favor. Expected lower turnout among Democratic core groups, especially younger...
Why Homeschool (Free subscription) | yesterday
I find it interesting that our blog has become an extension of my memory . This post is partly to add more to my extended memory. I don't remember hearing about the Cook Partisan Voting Index before. Here's the first paragraph from the Wikipedia entry: ---------- The Cook Partisan Voting Index (CPVI), sometimes referred to as simply the Partisan Voting Index (PVI), is a measurement of how strongly...
Open Left (Free subscription) | 11/24/2009
Blue Dog leader Jim Matheson thinks that it isn't nice to question the Democratic credentials of Blue Dogs, because those Blue Dogs wear the Democratic label : People should be wary of questioning Blue Dogs' credentials as Democrats, one of the group's co-chairmen said Tuesday.(...) "I'll tell you what, by Blue Dogs running as Democrats, we face a handicap running in our districts," Matheson...
Underbelly (Free subscription) | 11/24/2009
I just caught a few minutes of Charlie Cook with a panel of six political strategists --three and three, Republican and Democrat. Quel surprise: everybody is predicting Republican gains; the only dispute is over how much. But it was possible to suss out some new and interesting insights. Perhaps the most interesting (to me) came from Joe Trippi talking about the turmoil internal to both parties. On...
Hullabaloo (Free subscription) | 11/24/2009
Independent Elders And The Deficit by digby I'm listening to Matthews, Fineman and Cook obsess about the "independents" as if this is the first time they've ever noticed them. (Oy -- "independents" are the new "values voters.") Fineman points out that the crosstabs on the new Gallup poll shows that Obama is doing fine with younger independents up to about age 55 but has...
California Conservative (Free subscription) | 11/22/2009
In 2006, people said that the conditions surrounding GOP candidates were toxic. Four long years later, Charlie Cook is describing President Obama as “beyond radioactive in their districts.” Veteran Washington Post columnist David Broder paints a grim picture, too: It’s simply not true that America is ambivalent about everything when it comes to the Obama health [...]
Ace of Spades (Free subscription) | 11/21/2009
Finally. The fourth fastest fall below majority support of any president, coming in just days after Reagan fell below 50%, for similar reasons. Reagan of course became very popular, but he had an advantage Obama doesn't: Reagan installed a low-tax...
KY3 News (Free subscription) | 11/20/2009
King political prognosticator Charlie Cook has switched his ranking for Missouri's 4th Congressional District race from "a likely Democratic seat" to "a lean Democratic seat" in 2010. The move is minor, and still favors Rep. Ike Skelton. But it's also significant for Republicans who believe they're gaining momentum against a longtime incumbent who hasn't had a competitive race in...
Bill Baar's West Side (Free subscription) | 11/18/2009
From Charlie Cook yesterday, The key to victory was that Pelosi and Emanuel understood that their relatively new House majority is built on a layer of conservative-leaning districts won under perfect conditions in 2006 and 2008. And the two actively discourage members from some of those districts from voting in ways that would be construed as out of tune with their constituents. When the House passed...
Ace of Spades (Free subscription) | 11/13/2009
Good news/bad news: Cook rates 81 of these seats lean Democrat or better, and a mere 27 as lean Republican or better. But that's a bit misleading, because most of the competitive seats are held by Democrats -- in other...
Political Wire (Free subscription) | 11/13/2009
Charlie Cook praises the political skills of House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and White House chief of staff Rahm Emanuel in getting the health care bill passed last week. An important point: "The key to victory was that Pelosi and Emanuel understood that their relatively new House majority is built on a layer of conservative-leaning districts won under perfect conditions in 2006 and 2008. And the...
PA Pundits (Free subscription) | 11/12/2009
by Charlie Cook Denial is not a river; it is a state of mind. It’s inhabited by Democrats and liberal-leaning journalists who blame Virginia state Sen. Creigh Deeds for Democrats’ loss of the governorship, all statewide offices, and a five-seat net loss in the state House of Delegates, with a sixth seat too close to call. Sure, [...]
Media Matters for America (Free subscription) | 11/12/2009
Pointing to Republican victories in last week's gubernatorial elections in New Jersey and Virginia, Sean Hannity asked if they are "a preview of sort of what a lot of people expected what happened in '93, '94 to happen here," specifically that "the Republicans can take back the House and Nancy Pelosi is no longer Speaker." From the November 11 broadcast of Fox News' Hannity : HANNITY:...
BlogNetNews.com/Iowa (Free subscription) | 11/12/2009
After the 1994 Congressional elections, the late Peter Jennings infamously declared that the country had a "temper tantrum". This was after 54 seats in the House of Representatives went from Democrat to Republican, and gave Republicans majority control for the first time in 40 years. According to political strategist Charlie Cook , [...]
Underbelly (Free subscription) | 11/10/2009
Charlie Cook warns the Democrats that Virginia was no flash in the pan: It is very convenient for Democrats to blame (Democratic candidate Creigh) Deeds and his campaign for a debacle that sets the party back years in the state, certainly easier than facing inconvenient truths. The two key variables in this race were the GOP nominee, Attorney General Bob McDonnell, and the year -- a year when Democrats...
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