Why Obama Will Win (Our Study Shows … )
Britannica Blog (Free subscription) | 09/18/2008
Who will win the election if voters decide based on which candidate they expect to do better in handling the issues? J. Scott Armstrong and I addressed this question in a recent paper. We found that, historically, voters chose the candidate they expected to do the best job in dealing with the issues facing the country. For 2008, our approach predicts Barack Obama as the election winner....
