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Thanks to David Killoren for directing me to this excerpt from Bloggingheads. Science writers John Horgan and George Johnson spend a few minutes disucssing the MontyHall problem. Johnson recently reviewed Leonard Mlodinow's book The Drunkard's Walk: How Randomness Rules Our Lives , which contains an explanation of te problem. After Johnson gets frustrated trying to explain the problem...
As usual, the puzzle's been answered well by commenters. Jason points out that this is the MontyHall Paradox and – what I shoulda checked for – the puzzle and answer are in wikipedia. Here's the puzzle for those who missed it: You are a guest on a game show. There are three closed doors; behind one of them is...
I've been reading Leonard Mlodinow's The Drunkard's Walk: How Randomness Rules our Lives. The book covers the MontyHall problem, Bayes's Theorem, availability bias, the illusion of control and so forth. If these are unfamiliar, look no further for an...
... behind one of them, and lousy prizes behind the other two; then, after choosing a door, and having montyhall reveal one of the remaining doors as a loser prize and given the opportunity to shift choice on the remaining two, should the contestant make the change? her response was that, statistically — yes, the odds are better if the contestant changes her answer. people freaked at...
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... of a summer gas tax holiday (which only benefits oil producers) and his newfound interest in being MontyHall on Let's Make a Deal by giving a $300 million prize to whomever invents the next generation electric car battery. Newsflash John, it already exists! Each of Detroit's big three auto makers and the Japanese auto makers already have hybrids, flex-fuel vehicles, and all-electric...
What, no S&H Green Stamps with it? No set of steak knives ? Stumblin' Bumblin' John McCain put on his Dr. Emmett Brown lab coat yesterday and firmly aligned his possible presidency with MontyHall, and "Let's Make A Deal", offering a $300-million prize for someone to develop a battery for electric and/or hybrid cars. Man, you knew that McCain has always been low rent, but a carny ? Is...
Cardano's method. To lay the odds for even the simplest-seeming event, one constructs a table, or “sample space,” of all the ways Fortuna’s dice might fall. Trust your instincts instead and you’re bound to go wrong. The MontyHall Problem....
... a fedora, backpack, hiking boots and Sgt. Pepper jacket who functions like an extradimensional MontyHall– he trades strange and powerful items for souls, which he collects in a turtle shell until he can release them into the afterlife. It is in the course of one of these transactions, in issue #1, that he meets teenage Doot of the Wawenoc tribe in the early days of the pre-Revolutionary...
... course in randomness and statistics that includes the clearest explanation I've encountered of the MontyHall problem (named for the M.C. of the old TV game show "Let's Make a Deal").
Comedy troupe The Kids in the Hall, singer kd lang, model Daria Werbowy and filmmaker James Cameron are among the latest inductees to Canada's Walk of Fame. But of all stars set to be recognized, 90-year-old actress Frances Bay had far and away the most nominations for this year's honour.
