TODAY ON VOT3R - Politics STORIES (Free subscription) | 11/20/2008
After the Paul Carmouche campaign released a poll last week showing the Caddo Parish DA leading Republican John Fleming by 10 points in this open seat race, two new polls have been released tonight showing Fleming with a slight lead. Let's check 'em out. SurveyUSA for Roll Call (11/17-18, likely voters):...
Swing State Project (Free subscription) | 11/20/2008
The Kitchens Group (11/18-19, likely voters, 11/6-7 in parens): Paul Carmouche (D) : 48 (45) John Fleming (R) : 37 (35) Undecided : 13 (16) (MoE: ±4.0%) That's a fair spot better than the last two polls we've seen of this race. Interestingly, Kitchens pegs the African-American vote at a conservative 22% (this district is 33% black), meaning they estimate that the 'Mouche is doing much...
Swing State Project (Free subscription) | 11/20/2008
After the Paul Carmouche campaign released a poll last week showing the Caddo Parish DA leading Republican John Fleming by 10 points in this open seat race, two new polls have been released tonight showing Fleming with a slight lead. Let's check 'em out. SurveyUSA for Roll Call (11/17-18, likely voters): Paul Carmouche (D) : 45 John Fleming (R) : 47 (MoE: ±3.9%) Public Opinion...
Swing State Project (Free subscription) | 11/10/2008
The Kitchens Group for Paul Carmouche (11/6-7, likely voters): Paul Carmouche (D) : 45 John Fleming (R) : 35 (MoE: ±4.0%) Here it is -- the first publicly-released poll of this race. Lots of undecideds here, but Carmouche begins the race with an edge, retaining a 53-16 favorable rating. A strong field operation will be crucial in this race, as both sides expect that...
WAFB - Local News (Free subscription) | 11/24/2008
... and democrats fight for the 4th congressional seat, the more attention Shreveport seems to get. Paul Carmouche is Fleming's democratic opponent in this race. In reaction to Cheney's visit, Carmouche stated in an email "This campaign is about the people, not the powerful, I will always keep an open door in congress, and listen to the concerns and needs of my constituents. Carmouche's...
Daily Kos (Free subscription) | 11/21/2008
The great thing about polls is that sometimes they're all over the map. Check out the latest trifecta in the LA-04 race, which pits Democrat Paul Carmouche against Republican John Fleming. First, the independent poll, from SurveyUSA: SurveyUSA for Roll Call. 11/17-18. Likely voters. MoE 3.9% Fleming (R) 47 Carmouche (D) 45 Close race, this one. In fact, Fleming's own internals...
Daily Kos (Free subscription) | 11/18/2008
The two most critical remaining elections this year are the Georgia Senate runoff (pitting Democrat Jim Martin against Republican incumbent Saxby Chambliss), and the Louisiana Fourth District House race, an open-seat tossup between Democrat Paul Carmouche and Republican John Fleming. Carmouche appears to have something of an edge, so Fleming is calling in the big guns - like Dick...
Politico (Free subscription) | 11/17/2008
... Congressional Campaign Committee is bullish since recruiting Caddo Parish District Attorney Paul Carmouche, a socially conservative candidate with strong law-and-order credentials. Carmouche has served as district attorney in the district’s largest parish, which includes the city of Shreveport, for 30 years. Carmouche is facing Republican John Fleming, a physician and...
Swing State Project (Free subscription) | 11/12/2008
Multi-Quest International for John Fleming (10/6-8, likely voters): Paul Carmouche (D) : 43 John Fleming (R) : 48 (MoE: ±8.3%) Check out that margin of error -- it's a monstrous 8.3 points. Now, the pollster claims that the MoE is lower (6%, according to Roll Call), but the poll's sample size is a minuscule 140 , making a 6% MoE mathematically impossible. Republicans are hyping this...
Firedoglake (Free subscription) | 11/05/2008
... Welsh* - 32% IA-04: Becky Greenwald- 39% IA-05: Rob Hubler - 37% KY-02: David Boswell- 47% LA-04: Paul Carmouche- run-off MD-01: Frank Kratovil- 49% (recount) MI-07: Mark Schauer*- 49% (a win) MI-09: Gary Peters*- 52% MI-08: Robert Alexander - 40% MN-03: Ashwin Madia- 41% MN-06: Elwyn Tinklenberg- 44% MN-02: Steve Sarvi - 43% MO-09: Judy Baker- 47% MO-06: Kay Barnes - 37% NE-02: Jim...
