TrumantoLong (Free subscription) | 11/16/2008
In this post, we are going to look through swing state exit poll data relating to voter ideology. In the post following this, we will compare the results to the data regarding party voting. National Exits Liberals (2004, 21%) Kerry 85, Bush 13 (2008, 22%) Obama 89, McCain 10 Turnout : Up 1% over 2004 Change : +4% Obama over Kerry Moderates (2004, 45%) Kerry 54, Bush 45 (2008, 44%)...
New Verse News (Free subscription) | 11/17/2008
by Scot Siegel I had a dream we were sweating bullets Oakland. 1973 soul-music-afro-sheen Nixon. Panthers Grandmother Didn't trust blacks Called them shvartzes -- * Twenty years grandma dead Now I wonder how she would have cast Her ballot: white/black Bush administration says fear Is our greatest asset. Waged war For war's sake. Said: be afraid * Today, I keep pinching myself, Wanting to believe my...
From Sea To Shining Sea (Free subscription) | 11/15/2008
Recent polls and exit polls continue to show that a solid majority of Americans identify themselves with conservative values. A recent NBC poll indicated that more than 80% believe that God belongs in public life and discourse. Why, then, did the Democratic candidate, espousing radical views, such as support for infanticide and associations with hate-America...
Politics Index (Free subscription) | 9 hours ago
2004 exit poll data reveal that President Bush got 55 percent of the male vote and 48 percent of the female vote, while 2008 data show that McCain got 48 percent of the male vote and 43 percent of the female vote. McCain’s percentage of the ma...
Naked Politics (Free subscription) | 18 hours ago
Exit polls show black voters supported Florida's constitutional ban on same-sex marriage by the greatest margin -- 71 to 29 percent -- when compared to whites and Hispanics. But an analysis of the election results done for Equality Florida, a...
California Progress Report (Free subscription) | 11/20/2008
By Robert Cruickshank In the days after Proposition 8's passage, much was made of a CNN Exit Poll showing 70% of African Americans voted for Prop 8. That poll had a number of problems including a small sample size. But the damage had been done, and it soon became conventional...
Jennifer Roback Morse (Free subscription) | yesterday
Find this article on-line here . Assembly Speaker Karen Bass said today she is "appalled" at the hostility that has been directed at African-Americans since the passage of Proposition 8. According to exit polls, 70 percent of black voters supported the gay marriage ban measure, which has caused friction between gays and blacks. But during a meeting with The Bee's Capitol bureau, Bass...
Republican Michigander (Free subscription) | yesterday
70% of the Union members in Michigan voted for Obama is the exit polls are accurate. They may or may not be, but it's probably close. I know the UAW push was probably close to unprecedented, and was a major reason for Obama's win. The thanks given for that? Their best ally losing his committee chair. But we all the know the real controllers among the democrats isn't the David Bonior wing...
The Audacious Epigone (Free subscription) | 11/20/2008
In response to Ramesh Ponnuru's comment that even had McCain maintained Bush's white share of the vote at the state level, he would've come up 28 electoral votes short, I compared the '04 and '08 Presidential elections based on national exit polls, showing that the white vote was flat, while the black and Hispanic votes grew at double-digit rates. Whites do not appear to have been enthusiastic...
TODAY ON VOT3R - Politics STORIES (Free subscription) | 11/20/2008
Yes, math does matter. Using a number of simulation techniques, I've calculated that even given the proportions estimated by the CNN Exit Poll (10% black electorate, 70% vote yes), Prop 8 would have passed with or without the black vote. I've posted a blog about this on my blog space and will...
HispanicTrending (Free subscription) | yesterday
November 20, 2008 Via La Opinión Latino voters, who turned out in record numbers on Election Day to support Barack Obama, also have very high expectations for his presidency, according to a national bilingual poll by ImpreMedia and the NALEO...
PR News Wire (Free subscription) | yesterday
... commissioned by ImpreMedia in conjunction with the NALEO Educational Fund and Latino Decisions polling firm, found a significant increase in turnout among registered Latinos. Ninety-two percent of registered Latinos surveyed in the poll said they voted in this election, compared to 81.5% in 2004, the percentage cited in the Census Bureau's Current Population Survey. "The record turnout...
Gay News Watch (Free subscription) | yesterday
Assembly Speaker Karen Bass said Wednesday she is appalled at the hostility that has been directed at African Americans since the passage of Proposition 8. According to exit polls, 70 percent of black voters supported the measure to ban gay marriage, which has caused friction between gays and blacks. But...
Pam's House Blend (Free subscription) | 11/20/2008
Yes, math does matter. Using a number of simulation techniques, I've calculated that even given the proportions estimated by the CNN Exit Poll (10% black electorate, 70% vote yes), Prop 8 would have passed with or without the black vote. I've posted a blog about this on my blog space and will present the results with updated numbers here. As of 11/17/08 2:45pm, California Prop 8 Votes...
The Armchair Intelligentsia Blog (Free subscription) | 11/19/2008
Did the 2008 election signal a realignment of the national political map? And is there any good news for Republicans? Barack Obama may have run one of the most successful presidential campaigns in American history, but the exit poll data suggest that he did not achieve the overwhelming election victory that many had predicted. Increased Democratic Party identification, dismally low approval...
