HolyCoast.com (Free subscription) | yesterday
Polling is getting a little silly, as explained by Don Surber : 61% approve of the way he is doing nothing. 35% disapprove. Pollsters never seem to take vacations anymore, which is amusing. Rasmussen asked 1,500 Likely Voters what sort of job Barack Obama is doing as “president elect.” He’s no longer in the Senate, having quit on Sunday. He’s not president. He’s between jobs. He’s basically...
Swing State Project (Free subscription) | 11/19/2008
Rasmussen (11/18, likely voters): Jim Martin (D) : 46 Saxby Chambliss (R-inc) : 50 (MoE: ±4%) So far, both publicly-released runoff period polls ( R2K being the other) have showed little movement since November 4th. Chambliss still retains a slight lead, but as Nate Silver says, likely voter models are tough to set for special-type elections, and it's difficult to...
Daily Kos (Free subscription) | yesterday
The great thing about polls is that sometimes they're all over the map. Check out the latest trifecta in the LA-04 race, which pits Democrat Paul Carmouche against Republican John Fleming. First, the independent poll, from SurveyUSA: SurveyUSA for Roll Call. 11/17-18. Likely voters. MoE 3.9% Fleming (R) 47 Carmouche (D) 45 Close race, this one. In fact, Fleming's own internals show it...
Daily Kos (Free subscription) | 11/20/2008
Research 2000 for Daily Kos. 11/17-19. Likely voters. MoE 4% ( 11/10-12 results) Chambliss (R) 51 (49) Martin (D) 45 (46) The Election NIght results of this race were 49-46 Chambliss. The poll last week, when asking respondents who they voted for on Election Night, came back 49-47. Today, that number is 52-44. That means that the likely voter screen is stripping out many Election Night...
Swing State Project (Free subscription) | 11/20/2008
The Kitchens Group (11/18-19, likely voters, 11/6-7 in parens): Paul Carmouche (D) : 48 (45) John Fleming (R) : 37 (35) Undecided : 13 (16) (MoE: ±4.0%) That's a fair spot better than the last two polls we've seen of this race. Interestingly, Kitchens pegs the African-American vote at a conservative 22% (this district is 33% black), meaning they estimate that the 'Mouche is doing much...
OpenlineBlog.com (Free subscription) | 11/19/2008
3rd Ward Alderman Stephanie Kifowit lags far behind in a recent poll of likely voters in the Aurora Mayoral race Preceding the November election, a poll was conducted and a question about the 2009 Aurora Mayoral Race was included. The poll was after Alderman Rick Lawrence's decision to seek re-election to this 4th Ward seat instead of mayor, so the question was asked about the two other...
BlogNetNews.com/Iowa (Free subscription) | yesterday
... and use more technology, and third his increased name ID via FOX will help open doors to other likely voters.Now we all must remember that George Pataki did a lot of stuff in Iowa in 2005 and 2006 and he never even officially ran for president. There are a lot of things that can happen between now and the Iowa Caucuses.The Vander Plaats DecadeOn another note, Bob Vander Plaats was...
